Since 2000, the advent of the former KGB official, in Russia everyone is wondering if it is still possible to speak of democracy. The fate of Putin every year are becoming increasingly worrisome.
There is no global diplomatic conflict where the
The United Nations is blocked by the vetoes of the former Soviet Union and still Communist China.
The mysteries of the past political assassinations thicken and is increasingly involved with the Russian state apparatus, though on a purely indirect as in the new tactics of Putin.
Global warming seems to have led at least one advantage: the winter is not as cold as it has always been, and Gazprom does not have the ability to make us shake your teeth for four months a year.
The presidential elections in 2000 and 2004 were won by majorities Putin to Bulgaria for the lack of a real opposition.
repression protests and bureaucratic constraints have been implemented systematically by the apparatus of internal security of the Russian Federation.
On December 4, 2007 will be held instead of the parliamentary elections where the presidential party, United Russia, seems to have no rivals. Former chess champion Kasparov is doing everything possible to bring thousands of people in the streets. But people are afraid. She is afraid as she had when the streets were wanted by the military muster Brezhnev and Khrushchev during the years of terror. Then it will be difficult for liberals, Communists and reformers get a better result than that of 2003 where a 40% Russia United got more than a majority of seats in the Duma. For December a result it is feared even more extreme with the party able to bear up to 50% of the vote.
Apparently there is nothing wrong with numbers. No harm if one does not know what is happening in Russia is evolving and how the internal political system.
The other day the Russian President said goodbye to power is back. At most it will be a goodbye.
Nel discorso dell’altro ieri Putin ha indicato che il suo successore dovrà essere «una persona perbene, capace e moderna disposta a lavorare in squadra con lui». Insomma, un presidente fantoccio, che, salvo colpi di scena, risponderà al nome dell’attuale premier, il fedelissimo e sconosciuto Viktor Zubkov.
Medvedev, l’altro possibile candidato, son of power and energy industry, seems too young to take the helm of the Motherland Russia. It is also said to be in place for an attempt to curb his ambitions of power, deemed too explicit by the entourage of the president. All that remains is then Zubkov, a man of trust and unknown. That is indeed harmless. Early next year the two will exchange functions at least in formal terms, but Putin remains the only real boss.
The Russian press claims that the
The oligarchic regime is already set long ago. The "caste" Boris Yeltsin asserted that industry has made its way to monopoly Gazprom, which has eaten away all the others players in the exploitation of energy resources. The State has purged by Gazprom and dismantled the last remnants of what was the counter-revolution for democracy.
The former Yukos boss Khodorkovsky Mikhial before being arrested and sent to prison in Siberia has risked his life for have turned against Putin.
And then he, the arch-enemy, the oligarch of oligarchs, Boris Berezovsky who has vowed that the war on Putin, and then to the entire
in '99 when it was clear that Yeltsin chose Putin as his successor, for Berezovzki things began to change. From operator of power began to become suspicious of power. That was a difficult period. The cruel blow
also because the judges, with no more to protect Yeltsin's oligarchs, and went on to question his shares in the state company Aeroflot and the legality of his ownership of Logovaz, the company that made cars of the Soviet state, privatized.
During one of his frequent visits to London, chose to remain there.
had meanwhile sold its interests in media, including the supervision of business newspaper "Kommersant .
He left so half his latest project politico: nel 2000 aveva creato dal nulla uno spontaneo partito politico , « Russia Liberale », che secondo le sue intenzioni doveva unire in un blocco tutti gli uomini d’affari (del suo stampo) « sostenitori del libero mercato ».
Partito finito nel nulla da quando manca di spontanei finanziamenti e da quanto i comunisti sembrano l’unico tentativo di andare contro il sistema attuale.
Con Berezovski si è chiusa definitivamente l’era degli oligarchi. Quelli che rimangono rispondono direttamente a Putin. Le libertà economiche in Russia sono arrivate before those policies.
But these freedoms were the first also to become less "free" and more governed from above.
At the end of the first of '89 has not changed much. What will change from a state that dominates the economy in a state dominated by a subject that dominates the economy? Nothing. Only the power shifts from direct to indirect.
This seems to be the new way to
The idea flashed in the Kremlin to give the Putin government, before returning to the place that most are concerned, does not go in the direction you would like
The recent show of force on the missile system and reset the strategic decision by Putin goes hand in hand with the economic ladder.
The bases are still lying on the Volga and Polyarny the Kilo class submarine, Minsk and Kiev, which so frightened at Kennedy during the Cold War. That is why any attempt to shake the Russian military pride by Putin, can not fail to think of memories scary stories and we wanted to forget.
United States, to the mouth of Rice, categorically condemns the idea of \u200b\u200bindirect management of power by Putin. But they're waiting for the events, because after that open up another front of terrorism and the axis of evil, seems excessive even for a global empire like the stars and stripes.
In recent days two events have deeply shaken, however, the ambitions of Russian power.
I monaci buddisti hanno dato fastidio. Il regime birmano non è così brutale come ora i mezzi stampa lo dipingono. Non a caso la protesta è nata su un imprevisto aumento della benzina. Un fatto economico appunto. Non certo per i diritti civili, calpestati si come in ogni altro regime, ma con una brutalità nemmeno paragonabile a quella nord coreana o quella cinese. Chissà se Putin non ha pensato che scene come quelle di Rangoon possano accadere anche a Mosca?
In fondo la situazione, non è poi così diversa. Fa forse solo impressione che il governo russo sia in giacca e cravatta, e invece in Birmania ci sia una giunta militare che governa. Per il resto le analogie sono evidenti.
In Ukraine, the helm of the former Soviet Union, the situation is complex and it seems that from here we can outline a bump in the strategies of Moscow.
After the Orange Revolution that the axis of the blonde Timoshenko and Yushchenko won the election the pro-Russian Yanukovich can not claim power. The man trusted Moscow to Kiev was supported by all the means by Putin, but that was not used to stop the will of the majority of the new Ukrainian people.
Moti, in Ukraine, which traditionally anticipate the fate of the Russian big brother.
Putin knows it. This is why Gazprom has already put on the alert that if Ukraine does not respect its commitments in debt against the energy giant, the valves will be closed again, as two winters ago.
But Putin also knows that the
If friendship with Bush is steadfast and has granted its time of "peace force ', we do not know how events will develop in the case of an exponent of democratic victory. Limestone hand could snug increasingly towards Moscow, the hardening of the relations to the U.S., which is not at all desired by Washington for the reasons listed above.
democracy in Russia, however, still seems far away. The clouds on the sky of Moscow did not presume anything good.
Too often we recognize the merits of Putin as a great power, leaving to run targeted killings, political and economic strategies, which would not be tolerated if committed by other states.
Frequently you pretend not to see a system like that in Russian there are balances to the executive. The judiciary and the parliament, for what it is now, are completely subservient to the Kremlin, in similar style to the Soviet Union.
Real politik then working progress or simply waiting for the events?
One thing is certain.
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